Sensex Market Regime Log
Daily BankNifty regime classification (used as proxy) · last 90 trading days · Sensex strategy calibration matrix
Regime Distribution (last 90 days)
↔ RANGING
3
days
⚡ VOLATILE
2
days
· NORMAL
1
days
↘ TRENDING_DOWN
1
days
Sensex Strategy Win Rate by Regime
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data yet (<10 trades)
| S# | GAP UP | GAP DOWN | VOLATILE | TRENDING UP | TRENDING DOWN | RANGING | NORMAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 | — | — |
1t
1t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S2 | — | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S3 | — | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S8 | — | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S14 | — | — |
1t
1t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
1t
1t
|
| S16 | — | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
3t
3t
|
1t
1t
|
| S17 | — | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
1t
1t
|
| S18 | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
| S22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
Today's Sensex Strategy Ranking — Composite Score
Score = Regime win rate (35%) + DOW win rate (25%) + Recent 10-trade win rate (40%). Null component = neutral 50. Blocked = that dimension has enough data and proves bad.
| Strategy | Score | Regime (—) | DOW win rate | Recent 10 trades | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S16 ★ top pick | 58.0 | — | — | 70% | ✓ good |
| S3 | 54.0 | — | — | 60% | neutral |
| S14 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S17 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S18 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S20 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S22 | 50.0 | — | — | — | neutral |
| S8 | 46.0 | — | — | 40% | neutral |
| S1 | 42.0 | — | — | 30% | neutral |
| S2 | 30.0 | — | — | 0% | neutral |
Sensex Strategy Win Rate by Day of Week
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data
| Strategy | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
| S2 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S3 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S8 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S14 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S16 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
| S17 |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
2t
2t
|
1t
1t
|
| S18 | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
1t
1t
|
| S20 | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
| S22 | — | — | — | — |
1t
1t
|
Daily Log — Last 90 Days
| Date | Day | 9:21 type | Candle structure | Final | Gap % | Gap filled | Range | Exp× | DE | %↑VWAP | VWAP× | OR brk | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fri | · NORMAL | LOWER_WICK_DOM 48% | · NORMAL | +0.253% | — | 366.82 | 0.13× | 0.372 | 38.40% | 8 | ↑ UP | 77,265 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 28% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.134% | — | 2728.36 | 4.83× | 0.236 | 15.20% | 6 | ↓ DN | 76,934 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 44% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | +0.304% | — | 564.59 | 1.03× | 0.742 | 11.20% | 2 | ↓ DN | 77,473 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 69% | ↔ RANGING | -0.095% | — | 550.49 | 0.94× | 0.655 | 56.80% | 14 | ↓ DN | 77,656 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 54% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.114% | — | 583.89 | 1.86× | 0.446 | 2.40% | 1 | ↓ DN | 77,369 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fri | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 89% | ↔ RANGING | +0.211% | — | 314.77 | 1.32× | 0.509 | 36.80% | 10 | — | 77,541 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 38% | ↔ RANGING | — | — | 238.27 | — | 0.291 | 65.60% | 21 | ↑ UP | 77,538 |