Sensex Market Regime Log
Daily BankNifty regime classification (used as proxy) · last 90 trading days · Sensex strategy calibration matrix
Regime Distribution (last 90 days)
↔ RANGING
13
days
⚡ VOLATILE
12
days
· NORMAL
5
days
↑ GAP_UP
4
days
↓ GAP_DOWN
4
days
↘ TRENDING_DOWN
2
days
Sensex Strategy Win Rate by Regime
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data yet (<10 trades)
| S# | GAP UP | GAP DOWN | VOLATILE | TRENDING UP | TRENDING DOWN | RANGING | NORMAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
3t
3t
|
4t
4t
|
72.73%
11t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
23.08%
13t
|
5t
5t
|
| S2 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
58.33%
12t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
61.54%
13t
|
5t
5t
|
| S3 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
66.67%
12t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
23.08%
13t
|
5t
5t
|
| S8 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
25.00%
12t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
30.77%
13t
|
5t
5t
|
| S13 |
2t
2t
|
— |
8t
8t
|
— | — |
2t
2t
|
— |
| S14 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
63.64%
11t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
33.33%
12t
|
5t
5t
|
| S16 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
66.67%
12t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
61.54%
13t
|
5t
5t
|
| S17 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
72.73%
11t
|
— |
2t
2t
|
18.18%
11t
|
5t
5t
|
| S18 |
2t
2t
|
3t
3t
|
7t
7t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
30.00%
10t
|
5t
5t
|
| S20 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
80.00%
10t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
9t
9t
|
5t
5t
|
| S22 |
4t
4t
|
4t
4t
|
20.00%
10t
|
— |
1t
1t
|
7t
7t
|
3t
3t
|
| S23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Today's Sensex Strategy Ranking — Composite Score
Score = Regime win rate (35%) + DOW win rate (25%) + Recent 10-trade win rate (40%). Null component = neutral 50. Blocked = that dimension has enough data and proves bad.
| Strategy | Score | Regime (—) | DOW win rate | Recent 10 trades | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 ★ top pick | 58.0 | — | — | 70% | ✓ good |
| S2 ★ top pick | 58.0 | — | — | 70% | ✓ good |
| S3 ★ top pick | 58.0 | — | — | 70% | ✓ good |
| S14 ★ top pick | 58.0 | — | — | 70% | ✓ good |
| S16 | 54.0 | — | — | 60% | neutral |
| S17 | 50.0 | — | — | 50% | neutral |
| S20 | 50.0 | — | — | 50% | neutral |
| S22 | 46.0 | — | — | 40% | neutral |
| S13 | 42.0 | — | — | 30% | neutral |
| S18 | 42.0 | — | — | 30% | neutral |
| S8 | 38.0 | — | — | 20% | neutral |
Sensex Strategy Win Rate by Day of Week
Green = preferred (≥50% WR, 10+ trades) · Red = avoid · Gray = not enough data
| Strategy | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S1 |
8t
8t
|
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
| S2 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
| S3 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
| S8 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
| S13 |
2t
2t
|
2t
2t
|
3t
3t
|
3t
3t
|
2t
2t
|
| S14 |
8t
8t
|
8t
8t
|
8t
8t
|
8t
8t
|
8t
8t
|
| S16 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
| S17 |
8t
8t
|
9t
9t
|
9t
9t
|
8t
8t
|
6t
6t
|
| S18 |
5t
5t
|
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
6t
6t
|
5t
5t
|
| S20 |
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
7t
7t
|
6t
6t
|
7t
7t
|
| S22 |
5t
5t
|
6t
6t
|
6t
6t
|
6t
6t
|
6t
6t
|
| S23 | — | — | — | — | — |
| S24 | — | — | — | — | — |
Daily Log — Last 90 Days
| Date | Day | 9:21 type | Candle structure | Final | Gap % | Gap filled | Range | Exp× | DE | %↑VWAP | VWAP× | OR brk | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 43% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.034% | — | 762.15 | 0.53× | 0.509 | 86.40% | 7 | ↑ UP | 74,729 |
| 2026-10-15 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 57% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.253% | — | 1430.97 | 2.33× | 0.943 | 99.20% | 2 | ↑ UP | 74,316 |
| 2026-10-14 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | LOWER_WICK_DOM 37% | ↔ RANGING | +0.022% | — | 614.61 | 0.46× | 0.436 | 36.00% | 14 | ↓ DN | 72,782 |
| 2026-10-13 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | LOWER_WICK_DOM 45% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.038% | — | 1332.31 | 1.11× | 0.812 | 76.80% | 8 | ↑ UP | 73,034 |
| 2026-10-12 | Mon | ↑ GAP_UP | NORMAL 45% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.413% | filled | 1203.68 | 1.31× | 0.703 | 0.00% | 0 | ↓ DN | 71,925 |
| 2026-10-09 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 59% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.256% | — | 920.85 | 0.68× | 0.755 | 96.00% | 4 | ↑ UP | 72,472 |
| 2026-10-08 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 48% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.040% | — | 1362.99 | 2.48× | 0.789 | 0.00% | 0 | ↓ DN | 71,593 |
| 2026-10-07 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 67% | ↔ RANGING | -0.140% | — | 550.10 | 0.81× | 0.594 | 48.00% | 12 | — | 72,639 |
| 2026-10-06 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | LOWER_WICK_DOM 39% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.271% | — | 680.54 | 0.86× | 0.823 | 99.20% | 2 | ↑ UP | 73,068 |
| 2026-10-05 | Mon | ↑ GAP_UP | LOWER_WICK_DOM 51% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.600% | filled | 790.92 | 0.62× | 0.036 | 39.20% | 4 | ↑ UP | 72,312 |
| 2026-10-01 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 63% | ⚡ VOLATILE | -0.397% | — | 1275.16 | 1.83× | 0.222 | 26.40% | 9 | ↑ UP | 71,910 |
| 2026-09-30 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 68% | ⚡ VOLATILE | -0.121% | — | 695.51 | 1.17× | 0.056 | 61.60% | 17 | ↑ UP | 72,480 |
| 2026-09-29 | Tue | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 91% | ↔ RANGING | -0.190% | — | 595.84 | 0.58× | 0.176 | 68.80% | 9 | — | 72,529 |
| 2026-09-28 | Mon | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 82% | ⚡ VOLATILE | -0.218% | — | 1024.37 | 2.19× | 0.940 | 4.80% | 6 | ↓ DN | 72,772 |
| 2026-09-25 | Fri | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 67% | ↔ RANGING | -0.074% | — | 467.80 | 0.59× | 0.791 | 60.00% | 10 | ↑ UP | 73,896 |
| 2026-09-24 | Thu | ↓ GAP_DOWN | UPPER_WICK_DOM 18% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.741% | ran | 796.23 | 2.16× | 0.869 | 8.00% | 6 | ↓ DN | 73,581 |
| 2026-09-23 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 68% | ↔ RANGING | +0.160% | — | 368.74 | 0.60× | 0.484 | 71.20% | 11 | ↑ UP | 74,827 |
| 2026-09-22 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 16% | · NORMAL | +0.057% | — | 610.45 | 1.23× | 0.610 | 20.00% | 8 | ↓ DN | 74,529 |
| 2026-09-21 | Mon | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 41% | · NORMAL | +0.323% | — | 496.77 | 1.15× | 0.652 | 84.80% | 6 | ↑ UP | 74,859 |
| 2026-09-18 | Fri | · NORMAL | NORMAL 58% | ↔ RANGING | +0.351% | — | 432.56 | 0.88× | 0.648 | 67.20% | 9 | ↑ UP | 74,295 |
| 2026-09-17 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 70% | ↔ RANGING | -0.207% | — | 493.69 | 0.95× | 0.267 | 48.00% | 11 | ↑ UP | 74,315 |
| 2026-09-16 | Wed | ⚡ VOLATILE | REVERSAL 79% | ↔ RANGING | +0.332% | — | 521.71 | 0.37× | 0.167 | 59.20% | 20 | — | 74,336 |
| 2026-09-15 | Tue | ↑ GAP_UP | NORMAL 37% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.786% | filled | 1400.74 | 1.87× | 0.975 | 0.00% | 0 | ↓ DN | 74,004 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fri | ↓ GAP_DOWN | REVERSAL 79% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.792% | filled | 750.96 | 2.43× | 0.629 | 94.40% | 5 | ↑ UP | 74,782 |
| 2026-09-10 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 54% | ↔ RANGING | -0.029% | — | 309.09 | 0.64× | 0.518 | 43.20% | 18 | ↓ DN | 74,903 |
| 2026-09-09 | Wed | ↓ GAP_DOWN | UPPER_WICK_DOM 49% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.691% | ran | 485.04 | 1.12× | 0.600 | 60.00% | 10 | ↓ DN | 74,764 |
| 2026-09-08 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 62% | · NORMAL | -0.190% | — | 434.45 | 0.90× | 0.945 | 11.20% | 8 | ↓ DN | 75,578 |
| 2026-09-07 | Mon | ⚡ VOLATILE | LOWER_WICK_DOM 41% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | -0.077% | — | 485.27 | 1.32× | 0.667 | 2.40% | 3 | ↓ DN | 76,133 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fri | ↑ GAP_UP | UPPER_WICK_DOM 19% | ↑ GAP_UP | +0.662% | ran | 366.63 | 0.48× | 0.386 | 48.80% | 12 | ↑ UP | 76,515 |
| 2026-09-03 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 21% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.202% | — | 771.19 | 1.77× | 0.742 | 14.40% | 6 | ↓ DN | 76,153 |
| 2026-09-02 | Wed | ↓ GAP_DOWN | NORMAL 54% | ↓ GAP_DOWN | -0.615% | ran | 434.63 | 0.76× | 0.228 | 74.40% | 9 | ↑ UP | 76,570 |
| 2026-09-01 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 39% | · NORMAL | +0.048% | — | 575.47 | 1.45× | 0.087 | 49.60% | 4 | ↓ DN | 76,944 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mon | ⚡ VOLATILE | LOWER_WICK_DOM 47% | ↔ RANGING | -0.173% | — | 396.13 | 1.08× | 0.438 | 51.20% | 9 | ↓ DN | 76,957 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fri | · NORMAL | LOWER_WICK_DOM 48% | · NORMAL | +0.253% | — | 366.82 | 0.13× | 0.372 | 38.40% | 8 | ↑ UP | 77,265 |
| 2026-08-27 | Thu | ⚡ VOLATILE | UPPER_WICK_DOM 28% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.134% | — | 2728.36 | 4.83× | 0.236 | 15.20% | 6 | ↓ DN | 76,934 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wed | · NORMAL | NORMAL 44% | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | +0.304% | — | 564.59 | 1.03× | 0.742 | 11.20% | 2 | ↓ DN | 77,473 |
| 2026-08-25 | Tue | ⚡ VOLATILE | NORMAL 69% | ↔ RANGING | -0.095% | — | 550.49 | 0.94× | 0.655 | 56.80% | 14 | ↓ DN | 77,656 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mon | · NORMAL | NORMAL 54% | ⚡ VOLATILE | +0.114% | — | 583.89 | 1.86× | 0.446 | 2.40% | 1 | ↓ DN | 77,369 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fri | ↘ TRENDING_DOWN | STRONG_BEAR 89% | ↔ RANGING | +0.211% | — | 314.77 | 1.32× | 0.509 | 36.80% | 10 | — | 77,541 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thu | · NORMAL | NORMAL 38% | ↔ RANGING | — | — | 238.27 | — | 0.291 | 65.60% | 21 | ↑ UP | 77,538 |